How many RSVP vs Invited?

I'm at about 60% "Yes" responses, but I still have about 10 people to hear from. I have considerably less people invited to mine, so the 10 people can tip that percentage pretty easily. Although, they should have responded one week ago!

I was told in the beginning that roughly 35% of those invited will respond "No" and about 5-10% will respond "Yes" but won't show up.

I think you will be fine by only being 35 over. I'm sure that many will cancel. People have other things going on and getting 100% acceptance is rare. Like you said, some family said no but you had to invite them. I know what you mean exactly. Our RSVPs are due next Friday and we have 60% of them back and have a 45% decline rate. But over half the guest list is from out of state 3-6 hours away (FH's family that he rarely sees) and some friends half way across the country.

149 yes 21 no

We are at a 72% "Yes" response right now. Invited 332, 239 are coming. Our venue is about 1.5 hours from most of our guests and we had a lot of OOT people as well.

Thank you, ladies. This information is helpful.

Sunday night of a 3-day, summer holiday weekend. 250 invited, 225 said yes, 2 we never heard from. 90% acceptance. Venue held more, but I think the dance floor was too small, for our group. Our banquet manager said to expect 20% to say no on average, but 30% because it's on a holiday weekend. Good thing we didn't use what she said, to set-up the budget.

Don't expect any percentage. ONLY invite the max amount the venue can hold. If you only have 150 seats for the ceremony, you better only invite 150 people. What if they all accept? Then you have a gaggle of people with no seats and that's rude.

Don't invite more people than the site can hold. Make sure that includes you and your FH, officiant, vendors, etc. 150 is 150.

We ended up with an almost exact 25% decline rate- 156 people "yes", and 51 "no" out of 207 total. But I agree with other posters, percentages aren't super reliable as there are a ton of variables that impact whether people will attend or not. Better safe than sorry.

35 extra people with your guest list size seems a little risky to me. Our venue seats 225, and we invited 253 (and in absolute pinch, if we have to, we can make the full list work by putting some people in a side room for dinner). We are definitely nervous about that (my FMIL kept pulling the "I promise they're not coming!" thing) but so far we are on track with the no's. I don't think you need to invite exactly 150, you can over invite by a few, but I would save yourself the stress and don't over invite by 35 people. As other people mentioned, it's very risky to bank on a specific percentage. There's no guarantee- people want to come celebrate with you!